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| BRASILIA – A survey released on Thursday says that half of Brazilians believe the country will be the target of foreign aggression in the next 20 years. The study, done by the Institute of Applied Economic Research (IPEA), shows that 50% believe “totally” or “very” likely that Brazil will be attacked militarily because of concerns about the Amazon. Another 45% believe that Brazil could be attacked because of the pre-salt oil basins.
Amazon (photo: new7wonders.com)
The data is part of the System of Indicators of Social Perception (SIPS) which, in this edition, measured the fear of threats to the population. According to the IPEA, this is the first time that the institute analyzed popular fear on issues of national security.
A total of 3,796 people in 26 states and the Federal District were questioned. According to the IPEA, a part of the executive branch of federal government, the margin of error was 5%.
For researchers at the institute, that so many people fear conflict related to the Amazon or the pre-salt was “surprising,” especially when compared to the only 30% of respondents who completely discounted the possibility of conflict related to those two reasons. Those who believed the possibility of war “reasonable” was 17%.
The researchers pointed out the fact that in the northern part of the country the percentage of those who thought war over the Amazon "totally" or “very” likely was much higher at 66%.
The survey also showed that the country most feared by respondents was the United States. When asked about countries that pose a threat, 37% cited the U.S. That country, however, was also the most cited (by 32%) as a possible ally.
Apart from the fear of war, respondents were also afraid of organized crime, such as drug and weapons trafficking (54%), environmental or weather disasters (38%), epidemics (30%) and terrorism (29%).
Read also: More Articles from Brazil Dispatch
Brazilian online news source for this article: G1 Brazil
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